Profit Factor Explained: Formula, What Is a Good Value, and Why It Can Mislead You
Profit factor is gross profit divided by gross loss. This guide shows the formula, a worked example, its relationship with win rate and payoff, realistic benchmarks, and the situations where profit factor hides drawdown, outliers and small samples.
In this guide
- 1. What Profit Factor Is
- 2. A Worked Example, Trade by Trade
- 3. How Profit Factor Connects to Win Rate and Payoff
- 4. Gross vs Net: What Costs Do to Profit Factor
- 5. What Is a Good Profit Factor?
- 6. Five Ways Profit Factor Misleads
- 7. Profit Factor vs Expectancy, Recovery Factor and Sharpe
- 8. How to Calculate It in a Spreadsheet
- 9. Track a Rolling Profit Factor Instead of One Number
- 10. How to Improve Profit Factor Without Fooling Yourself
- 11. Frequently Asked Questions
FAQ
What is profit factor in trading?
Profit factor is the sum of all winning trades divided by the sum of all losing trades (as a positive number). A value above 1.0 means the strategy earned more than it lost; below 1.0 means it lost money overall.
What is a good profit factor?
As a rule of thumb, values between roughly 1.3 and 2.0 are often considered workable for a realistic strategy, provided the sample is large and the drawdown is acceptable. Values far above 3.0 in a backtest deserve suspicion of look-ahead bias, overfitting or too few trades.
How do I calculate profit factor?
Add up all profits to get gross profit, add up all losses as a positive number to get gross loss, then divide gross profit by gross loss. Use results after costs for a realistic figure.
Is profit factor better than win rate?
They answer different questions. Win rate shows how often you win, while profit factor combines frequency with size. A 70% win rate can still produce a profit factor near or below 1.0 if winners are small.
Can a strategy with a high profit factor still be bad?
Yes. If it has few trades, relies on one outlier, has a deep drawdown, or depends on very low costs, a high profit factor can be misleading. Read it together with trade count, drawdown and expectancy.